Tackling future risks, economic losses and exposure: developing the elements of the post-2015 framework for DRR

This paper builds on the hypothesis that a successful post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction (DRR) needs to better address underlying risk factors over a long timeframe and engage directly more pertinent actors such as local government leaders and the private sector. The paper explores the possible priority issues (the "substance") that should be highlighted in the post-2015 framework for DRR, setting the parameters for who (the "actors") and how (the "form") the substance should be included and the actors engaged.

The paper first looks into the possible expected outcomes as a way to identify the substantive priorities for the post-2015 framework for DRR, proposing four reality checks, in light of which it considers three challenges: (i) tackling exposure, economic losses and future risks through land use, urban and spatial planning, post disaster recovery and reconstruction, global supply chain management, ecosystems management, building social demand for disaster risk reduction, and improve accountability by improving responsibility and ownership for reducing risks; (ii) scaling up vulnerability reduction and building of resilience through fast track vulnerability reduction, expanding social protection, improving building practices, and reducing the vulnerability of small economies; and (iii) the integration of climate change into disaster risk reduction. It then proposes ways forward for a post-2015 framework for DRR.

This document is the fourth in a series of instrumental papers intended to help national consultations and Regional Platforms deliberate on the content and form of the post-2015 framework for DRR and the commitments they need to make at the 3rd World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction to implement the post-2015 framework for DRR. It is based on, and elaborates further, some of the questions considered in the second paper of the series: Toward the post-2015 framework for DRR - a prospective retrospective.