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Author(s) Khrystyna Holynska Jay Balagna Krystyna Marcinek

The Trade-Offs of Ukraine's Recovery Fighting for the Future

Source
RAND Corporation

In making decisions about reconstruction, the Ukrainian people and their government will face trade-offs regarding timelines, prioritization of efforts, leadership, and funding:

  • The decision of when to start reconstruction brings about a trade-off between the need to respond to public demand while also accounting for the uncertainty of war. The Ukrainian people want the government to restore normal life quickly, but doing so while armed conflict is still active might drain resources with little improvement in people's lives. 
  • The decision of who and what to prioritize will involve weighing the demand to start reconstruction quickly against the risk of inequitable access to resources and the potential long-term consequences. If the sources of reconstruction funds dry out before frontline regions can be rebuilt, and if there is a clear disparity between these regions and the rest of the country, national unity might crumble. 
  • The decision of who should direct reconstruction reveals a trade-off between sovereignty, capacity, and the risk of corruption. Sovereignty requires the Ukrainian government to take charge; however, the problem of corruption persists. Local communities enjoy the most trust and the best understanding of needs but lack capacity to handle large projects.
  • The decision of who should pay for reconstruction is a trade-off between the speed, sovereignty, and the long-term effects of that reconstruction. Private capital can bring speed at the cost of sovereignty. International institutions bring oversight but operate slowly.

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The Trade-Offs of Ukraine's Recovery Fighting for the Future PDF, 0.9 MB English

Last checked: 2 September 2024

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Explore further

Themes Fragility and conflict Recovery
Country and region Ukraine
The Trade-Offs of Ukraine's Recovery
Number of pages
43 p.
Publication year
2023

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